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Market Analysis 6 min read

London Ontario's Housing Supply Just Tripled: What July 2026 Means for Buyers and Sellers

Justin Skrypnyk Justin Skrypnyk
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Justin Skrypnyk graphic: London Ontario months of inventory nearly tripled, supply up from 2.5 to 7.3, still only 28 days to sell

Months of Supply — Aug 2025 to Jul 2026

7.3 mo Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Jul

Median Days to Sell — Aug 2025 to Jul 2026

28d Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Jul

One number changed more than any other in London's housing market this summer, and it's not one most buyers or sellers watch closely: months of supply. It sat in a tight 2.3-to-2.9 range for most of the past year — then jumped to 7.3 in July 2026. That's the difference between a seller's market and a buyer's market, and it happened in a single month.

What Is "Months of Supply" and Why It Matters

Months of supply (also called absorption rate) answers a simple question: at the current pace of sales, how long would it take to sell off every home currently listed? Real estate professionals generally read it like this:

Months of SupplyMarket Condition
Under 4 monthsSeller's market — demand outpaces supply
4 to 6 monthsBalanced market
Over 6 monthsBuyer's market — supply outpaces demand

A Full Year of Data: August 2025 to July 2026

MonthMonths of SupplyMedian Days to Sell
Aug 20252.927
Sep 20253.328
Oct 20252.929
Nov 20253.330
Dec 20254.243
Jan 20264.340
Feb 20263.929
Mar 20262.727
Apr 20262.924
May 20262.322
Jun 20262.525
Jul 20267.328

Source: PropTx Innovations Inc. MLS® data, covering London East, London North, and London South (Middlesex), calculated from approximately 67,000 listings.

The Big Story: What Happened in July 2026

From August 2025 through June 2026, London held firmly in seller's-market territory — months of supply never climbed above 4.3, and it spent the spring of 2026 as low as 2.3 to 2.5. Then July arrived and supply jumped to 7.3 months, crossing well past the 6-month line into buyer's-market conditions. That's roughly a tripling of available supply relative to the pace of sales, in a single month.

Notice what didn't move much: the median days to sell only ticked up from 25 in June to 28 in July. That gap — supply surging while days-on-market barely budged — is a signature of a market in transition. It typically means a wave of new listings hit at once, faster than buyers could absorb them, rather than buyers suddenly disappearing. The homes already under contract or about to sell haven't felt it yet; the shift shows up first in the supply numbers, before it shows up in how long homes sit.

Why This Matters If You're Selling

A jump from 2.5 to 7.3 months of supply means meaningfully more competition for buyer attention than sellers faced all spring. This is exactly the environment where accurate pricing stops being optional — with three times the inventory competing for the same buyers, a home priced even slightly ahead of the market is far more likely to sit, and eventually get pulled, than it would have in May's tighter conditions.

It doesn't mean don't sell. It means price to where the market actually is today, not to where it was in May.

Why This Matters If You're Buying

For buyers, this is the most leverage London has offered in a year. More active inventory means more choice, less urgency to overbid, and more room to negotiate on price, closing terms, or conditions. If you've been priced out of multiple-offer situations over the past year, July's numbers suggest that pressure has eased considerably, at least for now.

Whether that holds into fall or proves to be a one-month spike is the thing to watch. One month of data is a signal worth taking seriously; it isn't yet a confirmed new trend.

How Does This Fit With the Rest of 2026?

This lines up with — and sharpens — the story from our Best Time to List post: spring 2026 was London's tightest, fastest-moving window of the past year, and conditions have been loosening since. July's supply spike is the clearest evidence yet of how far that loosening has gone. For the neighbourhood-level picture, see our June 2026 market update, which showed Oakridge holding a 19-day median time on market even as the citywide market slowed.

Thinking about what this means for your specific plans to buy or sell? Request a complimentary home evaluation for pricing guidance that reflects exactly where the market stands today.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a healthy months of supply for a real estate market?

Generally, under 4 months of supply indicates a seller's market, 4 to 6 months is considered balanced, and over 6 months indicates a buyer's market. London Ontario sat between 2.3 and 4.3 months for a full year before jumping to 7.3 months in July 2026.

Is London Ontario a buyer's market or seller's market right now?

As of July 2026, London Ontario crossed into buyer's-market territory, with months of supply jumping to 7.3 — well above the 6-month threshold. This followed nearly a year of seller's-market conditions, including a low of 2.3 months in May 2026.

Why did London Ontario housing supply increase so much in July 2026?

Months of supply measures active listings against the current pace of sales, so a sharp increase typically means a wave of new listings arrived faster than buyers absorbed them — not necessarily that buyer demand collapsed. Median days to sell only rose slightly (25 to 28 days) over the same period, suggesting the shift is showing up in supply before it shows up in how quickly homes are selling.

Does more housing supply mean lower prices in London Ontario?

Rising supply typically gives buyers more negotiating leverage and can slow price growth, but a single month of data is a signal, not a confirmed trend. Sellers who price accurately to current conditions can still sell effectively; the risk is for listings priced to earlier, tighter-market conditions.

Justin Skrypnyk

Justin Skrypnyk

Real Estate Broker | Sutton Group Chapman Realty Inc., Brokerage | Oakridge, London Ontario

Justin Skrypnyk is a Real Estate Broker serving Oakridge and West London. He writes regularly about the London Ontario market to help buyers and sellers make well-informed decisions.

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